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08.03.2019
Wednesday


Only Drew and Timothy flew, and they flew tandem. Drew was able to
thermal the tandem from 1,500' to 1,800', so there was lift. There was an
inversion at less than 3,000'. No cu's as would be the case with the predicted
low TOL and a north wind, post frontal.

Leesburg airport:































































Time Wind Temp
17:53 NE 7 58
16:53 N 10 60
15:53 NW 9 60
14:53 NW 9 G 17 58
13:53 NW 9 57
12:53 NA 54
11:53 Vrbl 7 53
10:53 NW 13 G 20 50
09:53 N 9 G 18 47
08:53 N 13 43
07:53 N 13 41

The temperature and wind forecasts were about right.

The forecasted values on Wednesday after 6 PM for 1 PM Wednesday:

At 1 PM (six models):

Updraft velocity: 400 – 500 fpm

TOL: 3,000’

Wind TOUL: 11 - 18 mph, north

B/S: 2

Very consistent with the predictions from Tuesday evening.

So we would conclude that the forecast was accurate



https://OzReport.com/1552051387
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